8A

Normally distributed data

What normally distributed data looks like, the properties of the normal curve, real examples, and how to recognise data that is not normal.

Most Year 12 boys are close to the average height. A few are quite a bit taller or shorter, and very few are extremely tall or short. When lots of small, random effects add together (genes, diet, sleep), you get this pattern: most values bunch in the middle and they thin out evenly on each side.

The bell curve

When a histogram of a large dataset has a symmetric, bell-shaped outline, we say the data is normally distributed. The smooth curve drawn over it is the normal curve.

PropertyWhat it means
Bell-shapedOne peak in the middle, tails on both sides
Symmetric about the meanThe left half is a mirror image of the right half
Mean $=$ median $=$ modeAll three sit at the centre, under the peak
Most data near the centreValues far from the mean are rare
Fixed by two numbersThe mean sets the centre, the standard deviation sets the spread

Normal or not?

Many measurements are close to normal: heights, the mass of packaged products, the volume a machine pours into bottles, reaction times in a large group, and marks on a well-designed exam. Other data is clearly not:

  • Positively skewed (long tail to the right): weekly incomes, house prices, the number of children in a family. A few very large values stretch the tail.
  • Negatively skewed (long tail to the left): marks on a very easy test, age at retirement.

In skewed data the mean gets pulled towards the long tail, so the mean and median are not equal. That's a quick test: if the mean and median are very different, the data isn't normal.

Example 1●

For the weekly pay of $500$ workers in a Sydney suburb, the mean is $\$1{,}480$ and the median is $\$1{,}210$. Is this data likely to be normally distributed?

Compare: the mean is $\$270$ more than the median.
In a normal distribution the mean and median are equal.
The data has a long tail to the right.
The mean being bigger means a few high earners are pulling it up.
It is positively skewed, not normal, because the mean is well above the median.
State the conclusion with the reason.
InteractiveBuild a bell curve
Try this

Each "measurement" here is the sum of many small random effects. Press Add 100 a few times and watch the histogram grow. Then turn on Show normal curve.

Switch to Incomes. Why doesn't that one become a bell? Compare where the mean and median land in each case.

Your turn

Which of these is most likely to be normally distributed, and why? (a) The number of goals scored by each player in an A-League season. (b) The mass of $1{,}000$ bags of flour labelled $1$ kg. (c) The price of every house sold in NSW last year.

Show the answer

(b). Flour bags are filled by a machine aiming at $1$ kg, with small random errors either way, so the masses form a symmetric bell around the mean. Goals (a) are positively skewed, since most players score few and a handful score many. House prices (c) are also positively skewed, with a long tail of very expensive homes.

Flashcards
Properties of a normal distribution
Bell-shaped, symmetric, mean $=$ median $=$ mode, most data near the centre.
Effect of a larger standard deviation
The curve is wider and flatter. The area under it stays $100\%$.
Quick sign data is not normal
The mean and median are noticeably different, or the histogram has one long tail.
Practice
  1. In a normal distribution:

  2. Which dataset is most likely to be approximately normal?

  3. Two normal curves have the same mean. Curve A has $s = 3$ and curve B has $s = 8$. Compared with A, curve B is:

  4. A dataset has mean $54$ and median $61$. It is most likely:

  5. The total area under a normal curve represents:

  6. A normal distribution of test marks has mean $65$. What is the median?

  7. Which two values completely describe the position and shape of a normal curve?

  8. A histogram has a peak on the left and a long tail stretching to the right. This data is:

  9. Exam style: The weekly hours worked by casual staff at a supermarket have mean $18.2$ and median $14.5$. A manager says the hours are normally distributed. Is the manager correct?

  10. Exam style: A machine fills juice bottles. The volumes are normally distributed with mean $500$ mL. Which statement must be true?

Formula sheet